Extração e Representação de Conhecimento de Séries Temporais de Demanda de Energia Elétrica Usando TSKR

• Ano de defesa: 2012
• Autor(a) principal: Queiroz, Alynne Conceição Saraiva de
• Orientador(a): Costa, José Alfredo Ferreira
• Tipo de documento: Dissertação
• Tipo de acesso: Acesso aberto
• Idioma: por
• Instituição de defesa: Universidade Federal do Rio Grande do Norte
• Programa de Pós-Graduação: Programa de Pós-Graduação em Engenharia Elétrica
• Departamento: Automação e Sistemas; Engenharia de Computação; Telecomunicações
• País: BR
• Palavras-chave em Português: Séries Temporais. Extração e Representação de Conhecimento. Mineração de Dados. Demanda de Energia Elétrica.
• Palavras-chave em Inglês: Time Series Analysis. Knowledge Extraction and Representation. Data Mining. Electrical Energy Demand.
• Área do conhecimento CNPq: CNPQ::ENGENHARIAS::ENGENHARIA ELETRICA
• Link de acesso: https://repositorio.ufrn.br/jspui/handle/123456789/15454

The opening of the Brazilian market of electricity and competitiveness between companies in the energy sector make the search for useful information and tools that will assist in decision making activities, increase by the concessionaires. An important source of knowledge for these utilities is the time series of energy demand. The identification of behavior patterns and description of events become important for the planning execution, seeking improvements in service quality and financial benefits. This dissertation presents a methodology based on mining and representation tools of time series, in order to extract knowledge that relate series of electricity demand in various substations connected of a electric utility. The method exploits the relationship of duration, coincidence and partial order of events in multi-dimensionals time series. To represent the knowledge is used the language proposed by Mörchen (2005) called Time Series Knowledge Representation (TSKR). We conducted a case study using time series of energy demand of 8 substations interconnected by a ring system, which feeds the metropolitan area of Goiânia-GO, provided by CELG (Companhia Energética de Goiás), responsible for the service of power distribution in the state of Goiás (Brazil). Using the proposed methodology were extracted three levels of knowledge that describe the behavior of the system studied, representing clearly the system dynamics, becoming a tool to assist planning activities