Some things don’t ever change: how Portugal’s political party outcome influences voter turnout

Bibliographic Details
Main Author: Casado, Luís Miguel Cardoso
Publication Date: 2023
Format: Master thesis
Language: eng
Source: Repositórios Científicos de Acesso Aberto de Portugal (RCAAP)
Download full: http://hdl.handle.net/10400.5/30953
Summary: Mestrado Bolonha em Econometria Aplicada e Previsão
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network_name_str Repositórios Científicos de Acesso Aberto de Portugal (RCAAP)
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spelling Some things don’t ever change: how Portugal’s political party outcome influences voter turnoutAbstentionRe-electedSpatial ModelsVoter TurnoutMestrado Bolonha em Econometria Aplicada e PrevisãoThis study tests the hypothesis that in the Portuguese legislative elections from 2011 to 2022, municipalities where the political party with the majority of the votes is the same as the one in the prior election, have a higher abstention rate compared to municipalities where the majority of the votes shifts to a different political party. No significant differences in voter turnout were found among municipalities that reelected a party from those that did not. However, when examining how many times the party has been re-elected two effects were observed: the "Newly Elected" Effect (NEE), where municipalities that re-elected a party for the first and second time saw an increase in abstention, and an opposite effect, designated as "Longevity" Effect (LE), where municipalities that re-elected a party for the fifth to eighth time observed a decrease in abstention. Finally, when trying to understand the impact that re-electing a party had in each election year on the voter turnout, there was no significant change in abstention throughout the years, suggesting that the absence of re-election impact on abstention is a systemic issue.Instituto Superior de Economia e GestãoProença, IsabelRepositório da Universidade de LisboaCasado, Luís Miguel Cardoso2024-11-01T01:31:19Z2023-102023-10-01T00:00:00Zinfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersioninfo:eu-repo/semantics/masterThesisapplication/pdfhttp://hdl.handle.net/10400.5/30953engCasado, Luís Miguel Cardoso (2023). "Some things don’t ever change: how Portugal’s political party outcome influences voter turnout". Dissertação de Mestrado. Universidade de Lisboa. Instituto Superior de Economia e Gestão.info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccessreponame:Repositórios Científicos de Acesso Aberto de Portugal (RCAAP)instname:FCCN, serviços digitais da FCT – Fundação para a Ciência e a Tecnologiainstacron:RCAAP2025-03-17T15:33:38Zoai:repositorio.ulisboa.pt:10400.5/30953Portal AgregadorONGhttps://www.rcaap.pt/oai/openaireinfo@rcaap.ptopendoar:https://opendoar.ac.uk/repository/71602025-05-29T03:47:03.552020Repositórios Científicos de Acesso Aberto de Portugal (RCAAP) - FCCN, serviços digitais da FCT – Fundação para a Ciência e a Tecnologiafalse
dc.title.none.fl_str_mv Some things don’t ever change: how Portugal’s political party outcome influences voter turnout
title Some things don’t ever change: how Portugal’s political party outcome influences voter turnout
spellingShingle Some things don’t ever change: how Portugal’s political party outcome influences voter turnout
Casado, Luís Miguel Cardoso
Abstention
Re-elected
Spatial Models
Voter Turnout
title_short Some things don’t ever change: how Portugal’s political party outcome influences voter turnout
title_full Some things don’t ever change: how Portugal’s political party outcome influences voter turnout
title_fullStr Some things don’t ever change: how Portugal’s political party outcome influences voter turnout
title_full_unstemmed Some things don’t ever change: how Portugal’s political party outcome influences voter turnout
title_sort Some things don’t ever change: how Portugal’s political party outcome influences voter turnout
author Casado, Luís Miguel Cardoso
author_facet Casado, Luís Miguel Cardoso
author_role author
dc.contributor.none.fl_str_mv Proença, Isabel
Repositório da Universidade de Lisboa
dc.contributor.author.fl_str_mv Casado, Luís Miguel Cardoso
dc.subject.por.fl_str_mv Abstention
Re-elected
Spatial Models
Voter Turnout
topic Abstention
Re-elected
Spatial Models
Voter Turnout
description Mestrado Bolonha em Econometria Aplicada e Previsão
publishDate 2023
dc.date.none.fl_str_mv 2023-10
2023-10-01T00:00:00Z
2024-11-01T01:31:19Z
dc.type.status.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion
dc.type.driver.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/masterThesis
format masterThesis
status_str publishedVersion
dc.identifier.uri.fl_str_mv http://hdl.handle.net/10400.5/30953
url http://hdl.handle.net/10400.5/30953
dc.language.iso.fl_str_mv eng
language eng
dc.relation.none.fl_str_mv Casado, Luís Miguel Cardoso (2023). "Some things don’t ever change: how Portugal’s political party outcome influences voter turnout". Dissertação de Mestrado. Universidade de Lisboa. Instituto Superior de Economia e Gestão.
dc.rights.driver.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess
eu_rights_str_mv openAccess
dc.format.none.fl_str_mv application/pdf
dc.publisher.none.fl_str_mv Instituto Superior de Economia e Gestão
publisher.none.fl_str_mv Instituto Superior de Economia e Gestão
dc.source.none.fl_str_mv reponame:Repositórios Científicos de Acesso Aberto de Portugal (RCAAP)
instname:FCCN, serviços digitais da FCT – Fundação para a Ciência e a Tecnologia
instacron:RCAAP
instname_str FCCN, serviços digitais da FCT – Fundação para a Ciência e a Tecnologia
instacron_str RCAAP
institution RCAAP
reponame_str Repositórios Científicos de Acesso Aberto de Portugal (RCAAP)
collection Repositórios Científicos de Acesso Aberto de Portugal (RCAAP)
repository.name.fl_str_mv Repositórios Científicos de Acesso Aberto de Portugal (RCAAP) - FCCN, serviços digitais da FCT – Fundação para a Ciência e a Tecnologia
repository.mail.fl_str_mv info@rcaap.pt
_version_ 1833601833218605056

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