Voter turnout in Portugal: a geographical perspective

Bibliographic Details
Main Author: Manoel, Liliana Alexandra Silvério Raposo Guerreiro da Câmara
Publication Date: 2020
Format: Master thesis
Language: eng
Source: Repositórios Científicos de Acesso Aberto de Portugal (RCAAP)
Download full: http://hdl.handle.net/10362/95809
Summary: Dissertation presented as the partial requirement for obtaining a Master's degree in Statistics and Information Management, specialization in Information Analysis and Management
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network_name_str Repositórios Científicos de Acesso Aberto de Portugal (RCAAP)
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spelling Voter turnout in Portugal: a geographical perspectivePortugalVoter turnoutSociodemographic variablesSemiparametric geographically weighted regression (SGWR)Spatial variabilityDissertation presented as the partial requirement for obtaining a Master's degree in Statistics and Information Management, specialization in Information Analysis and ManagementThe decline of voter turnout in Portugal has been confirmed in the last legislative election of 2015. This fact, together with the unquestionable democratic value associated with the act of voting, leads to the discussion of the issue and emphasizes the need for additional investigation concerning the portuguese context. Particularly, it is crucial to identify the characteristics of citizens who vote, to better understand the phenomenon and think about solutions. This work aims to identify the most significant sociodemographic variables in explaining voter turnout in continental Portugal and describe the relationship between those variables and voter turnout, including the geographical variation existing across the municipalities. Data related to sociodemographic variables are provided from population census 2011, and turnout results concerns the legislative election of the same year. The chosen variables have been addressed in literature, both in meta-analyses studies and in country level empirical investigation. The analysis starts with the conventional Ordinary Least Squares (OLS), and continue with more spatially sensitive methods, namely Geographically Weighted Regression (GWR) and its semiparametric extension (SGWR). The final method, SGWR, enables the investigation of local variations in turnout values, simultaneously considering that its relationship with some variables might not vary over space. Results show that turnout is a complex process, influenced by a set of sociodemographic variables. While some variables affect turnout differently over the country (percentage of family cores with children aged less than 15, and percentage of owner-occupied houses), others affect it uniformly (percentage of graduated residents, percentage of classic families, and distance to Lisbon or Oporto – the nearest). This highlights the use of a semiparametric approach to better understand turnout and for further research on voting issues.Cabral, Pedro da Costa BritoCosta, Ana Cristina Marinho daRUNManoel, Liliana Alexandra Silvério Raposo Guerreiro da Câmara2020-04-07T14:42:32Z2020-03-232020-03-23T00:00:00Zinfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersioninfo:eu-repo/semantics/masterThesisapplication/pdfhttp://hdl.handle.net/10362/95809TID:202469603enginfo:eu-repo/semantics/openAccessreponame:Repositórios Científicos de Acesso Aberto de Portugal (RCAAP)instname:FCCN, serviços digitais da FCT – Fundação para a Ciência e a Tecnologiainstacron:RCAAP2024-05-22T17:44:48Zoai:run.unl.pt:10362/95809Portal AgregadorONGhttps://www.rcaap.pt/oai/openaireinfo@rcaap.ptopendoar:https://opendoar.ac.uk/repository/71602025-05-28T17:16:12.611114Repositórios Científicos de Acesso Aberto de Portugal (RCAAP) - FCCN, serviços digitais da FCT – Fundação para a Ciência e a Tecnologiafalse
dc.title.none.fl_str_mv Voter turnout in Portugal: a geographical perspective
title Voter turnout in Portugal: a geographical perspective
spellingShingle Voter turnout in Portugal: a geographical perspective
Manoel, Liliana Alexandra Silvério Raposo Guerreiro da Câmara
Portugal
Voter turnout
Sociodemographic variables
Semiparametric geographically weighted regression (SGWR)
Spatial variability
title_short Voter turnout in Portugal: a geographical perspective
title_full Voter turnout in Portugal: a geographical perspective
title_fullStr Voter turnout in Portugal: a geographical perspective
title_full_unstemmed Voter turnout in Portugal: a geographical perspective
title_sort Voter turnout in Portugal: a geographical perspective
author Manoel, Liliana Alexandra Silvério Raposo Guerreiro da Câmara
author_facet Manoel, Liliana Alexandra Silvério Raposo Guerreiro da Câmara
author_role author
dc.contributor.none.fl_str_mv Cabral, Pedro da Costa Brito
Costa, Ana Cristina Marinho da
RUN
dc.contributor.author.fl_str_mv Manoel, Liliana Alexandra Silvério Raposo Guerreiro da Câmara
dc.subject.por.fl_str_mv Portugal
Voter turnout
Sociodemographic variables
Semiparametric geographically weighted regression (SGWR)
Spatial variability
topic Portugal
Voter turnout
Sociodemographic variables
Semiparametric geographically weighted regression (SGWR)
Spatial variability
description Dissertation presented as the partial requirement for obtaining a Master's degree in Statistics and Information Management, specialization in Information Analysis and Management
publishDate 2020
dc.date.none.fl_str_mv 2020-04-07T14:42:32Z
2020-03-23
2020-03-23T00:00:00Z
dc.type.status.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion
dc.type.driver.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/masterThesis
format masterThesis
status_str publishedVersion
dc.identifier.uri.fl_str_mv http://hdl.handle.net/10362/95809
TID:202469603
url http://hdl.handle.net/10362/95809
identifier_str_mv TID:202469603
dc.language.iso.fl_str_mv eng
language eng
dc.rights.driver.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess
eu_rights_str_mv openAccess
dc.format.none.fl_str_mv application/pdf
dc.source.none.fl_str_mv reponame:Repositórios Científicos de Acesso Aberto de Portugal (RCAAP)
instname:FCCN, serviços digitais da FCT – Fundação para a Ciência e a Tecnologia
instacron:RCAAP
instname_str FCCN, serviços digitais da FCT – Fundação para a Ciência e a Tecnologia
instacron_str RCAAP
institution RCAAP
reponame_str Repositórios Científicos de Acesso Aberto de Portugal (RCAAP)
collection Repositórios Científicos de Acesso Aberto de Portugal (RCAAP)
repository.name.fl_str_mv Repositórios Científicos de Acesso Aberto de Portugal (RCAAP) - FCCN, serviços digitais da FCT – Fundação para a Ciência e a Tecnologia
repository.mail.fl_str_mv info@rcaap.pt
_version_ 1833596564230111232

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