Prospectiva tecnológica de la cadena productiva de viviendas de interés social construidas con maderas nacionales (Uruguay)

• Ano de defesa: 2011
• Autor(a) principal: Franco Murtagh, Jorge Ernesto
• Orientador(a): Formoso, Carlos Torres
• Tipo de documento: Dissertação
• Tipo de acesso: Acesso aberto
• Idioma: spa
• Palavras-chave em Português: Construção civil; Habitação popular; Cadeia produtiva; Uruguai
• Palavras-chave em Inglês: Technological prospective; Foresight; Delphi method; Housing for low-income people; Wood house supply chain
• Link de acesso: http://hdl.handle.net/10183/103720

The construction of housing for low-income people, produced from domestic timber (VIS-M), is an important alternative to be included in the choice menu for solving the housing shortage. Uruguay is beginning to have an important amount of sawtimber, a material suitable and internationally used for housing, but that is not usually among the population preferences. Moreover, the supply chain responsible for producing that material is still incipient, and developing the necessary skills takes time. The main objective of this research work is to characterize the VIS-M Supply Chain, seeking to prospect the future behavior of its critical factors, as well as the demands for training and research, in order to improve its performance. The Delphi technique was used to obtain the perception of key people from of different supply chain members. Delphi may be characterized as a method for structuring a group communication process so that the process is effective in allowing a group of individuals, as a whole, to deal with a complex problem. The main conclusions of this study were: (a) the VIS-M supply chain will develop in the future, but slowly; (b) the level of acceptance of VIS-M will increase in the optimistic and realistic scenarios, but it is expected to be low in the pessimistic scenario; (c) the need for training was pointed out for all stakeholders, in particular the necessity of sharing the knowledge that already exists; (d) some demands were identified, including standardization, performance evaluation, protocols for use and maintenance, and for technology for processing wood (sawing and preservation), which will impact the durability of VIS-M. In turn, standardization and performance evaluation will impact heavily the supply chain, the availability of funding, and the defense of consumer rights; and the integration of the production chain will affect the optimization of resources, by a more efficient and rational use, with impacts on the cost of VIS-M.