Proposta de um Procedimento para Identificar, Avaliar e Priorizar Riscos em Cadeias de Suprimentos.

• Ano de defesa: 2012
• Autor(a) principal: Rangel, Djalma Araújo
• Tipo de documento: Dissertação
• Tipo de acesso: Acesso aberto
• Idioma: por
• Instituição de defesa: Universidade Federal da Paraí­ba; BR; Engenharia de Produção; Programa de Pós-Graduação em Engenharia de Produção; UFPB
• Palavras-chave em Português: Engenharia de Produção; Cadeia de Suprimentos; Gestão de Riscos; Supply Chain; Risk management; Multi Criteria Decision Aid method; ENGENHARIAS::ENGENHARIA DE PRODUCAO
• Link de acesso: https://repositorio.ufpb.br/jspui/handle/tede/5224

This paper aims to present a procedure to identify, assess and prioritize risks in the supply chain in order to fill gaps related to the stages of identification and risk assessment. The work begins with a literature review on supply chain (concepts, business models and performance indicators), risk management, supply chain, methods of multicriteria decision aid and probability. Regarding the identification of risk, initially, based on the literature, it was constructed a supply chain risk classification. To facilitate the process of identification, the risk classification was broken down into events that permits identify the risk occurrence and the data attached to it. Related to the process of risk assessment, due to difficulties in measuring the impact (cost) and probability of risk, in the pursuit of combining qualitative and quantitative aspects and add an analysis of influence between the types of risk, indicators that reflect the significance of the impact from the literature have been established and were associated to the risk classification trough the method Analytic Network Process (ANP) to evaluate the impact, and is shown a framework for assessment and evaluation of the likelihood. As a final result, it is proposed the procedure that assumes: 1) Comprehend the supply chain, 2) Identify risks, 3) Register data of risks occurrence; 4) Evaluate the impact of the risks with the ANP, where risks are the alternatives and indicators are criteria; 5) Calculate the probability; 6) Set the risk criticality index (Probability x Impact) and hence prioritize risks with the highest rates. With this procedure, the process of identify and assess risk in the supply chain can provide more accurate answers to decision makers, so a chain can better respond to risks that afflict it.