Um estudo sobre a sustentabilidade financeira do programa seguro-desemprego no Brasil (2000-2022) à luz da interpretação pós-keynesiana

• Ano de defesa: 2024
• Autor(a) principal: Araújo, Leina Iade
• Tipo de documento: Dissertação
• Tipo de acesso: Acesso aberto
• Idioma: por
• Instituição de defesa: Universidade Federal do Espírito Santo; BR; Mestrado em Economia; Centro de Ciências Jurídicas e Econômicas; UFES; Programa de Pós-Graduação em Economia
• Palavras-chave em Português: Economia Keynesiana; Política social; Seguro desemprego; Fundo de amparo ao trabalhador; Economia pós-keynesiana; Post-keynesian economics; Social policy; Unemployment insurance program; Programa seguro desemprego; Teoria Econômica
• Link de acesso: http://repositorio.ufes.br/handle/10/17700

The present dissertation aims to study the financial sustainability of the unemployment insurance program in Brazil based on its ability to adapt to the country's socioeconomic changes between the years 2000 and 2022. To analyze this topic, the theoretical approach of the Post-Keynesian School was chosen. In this way, the historical evolution of the unemployment insurance program in Brazil and its operation from 2000 to 2022 is analyzed. The core of this investigation starts from the increase in insurance expenses, the amount paid with the benefit between 2008 and 2015 increased by around 140%. This led to the investigation of the long-term relationship between revenues from the Workers' Support Fund (FAT), unemployment insurance expenses and macroeconomic variables GDP and the unemployment rate. To this end, the econometric methodology of a vector error correction model (VECM) was used. The results indicated that the variables included in the model play a significant role in explaining variations in FAT revenue in the long term. This empirical evidence strengthens post-Keynesian interpretations about the need for stability in employment policies and the economy as a whole for the sustainability of the social protection system