O Programa Bolsa Família estimula a migração dos trabalhadores de baixa renda ao mercado informal?

• Ano de defesa: 2017
• Autor(a) principal: Godward, Carlos David
• Orientador(a): Alvim, Augusto Mussi
• Tipo de documento: Dissertação
• Tipo de acesso: Acesso aberto
• Idioma: por
• Instituição de defesa: Pontifícia Universidade Católica do Rio Grande do Sul
• Programa de Pós-Graduação: Programa de Pós-Graduação em Economia do Desenvolvimento
• Departamento: Escola de Negócios
• País: Brasil
• Palavras-chave em Português: Programa Bolsa Família; PBF; Programas de Transferência de Renda Condicionada; PTRC; Modelo Corretor de Erros; VECM; ADF; Séries Temporais; Séries de Tempo; Séries de Tempo Cointegradas
• Área do conhecimento CNPq: CIENCIAS SOCIAIS APLICADAS::ECONOMIA
• Link de acesso: http://tede2.pucrs.br/tede2/handle/tede/7702

Conditional Income Transfer Programs, Bolsa Família Program in Brazil, became an innovative instrument for reducing social inequality in many countries, specifically, in Latin America, where they were widely adopted. These programs have proven effective in several aspects such as reducing poverty and inequality, improving schooling rates, etc. An aspect that has remained unmentioned of these programs was their potential to encourage targeted workers of the program to migrate to the informal labour market in order to remain "invisible" to program managers and, thus, receive the benefits even when they do not qualify according to program standards. This study applies VECM (Vector Error Corrector Model) to show this issue may be occurring in the six Brazilian state capitals, included in the IBGE Monthly Employment Survey, from the creation of the program, in 2004, until March 2016.