A expansão do crédito de consumo no Brasil: 2003-2010

• Ano de defesa: 2011
• Autor(a) principal: Tingas, João Nicola Basile
• Orientador(a): Carvalho, Carlos Eduardo Ferreira de
• Tipo de documento: Dissertação
• Tipo de acesso: Acesso aberto
• Idioma: por
• Instituição de defesa: Pontifícia Universidade Católica de São Paulo
• Programa de Pós-Graduação: Programa de Estudos Pós-Graduados em Economia Política
• Departamento: Economia
• País: BR
• Palavras-chave em Português: Sistema financeiro; Crédito de consumo; Pessoa física
• Palavras-chave em Inglês: Financial system; Individual consumer credit; Brazil
• Área do conhecimento CNPq: CNPQ::CIENCIAS SOCIAIS APLICADAS::ECONOMIA
• Link de acesso: https://tede2.pucsp.br/handle/handle/9171

Over the last decade, access to consumer credit has increased considerably both in developed and emerging countries. This event attracted the attention of economists. Brazil is one of these cases. As part of this research agenda, my dissertation analyzes the expansion of loans to individuals in country between 2003 and 2010. In this period, individual consumer credit grew at an annual rate above real GDP showing an increase well above the expansion of total credit, which adds up all types of corporate credit. In addition to demonstrating the strong growth of supply and demand for credit, this paper seeks to identify the conditions that led the lenders to offer and consumers to demand credit intensely in a few years. We can identify two main groups of factors and constraints affecting expansion of the consumer credit: first, microeconomics advances, institutional reform and modernization of the financial system; and second, foundations and macroeconomic policy. The context analysis of these variables helps to explain why the ratio of total credit to Gross Domestic Product (GDP) almost doubled from 2003 to 2010. On the other hand, there is evidence about deceleration of consumption of goods and services, also consumer credit in the first half of 2011, which will motivate the discussion of some alternatives to consolidate a second phase expansion of credit in the near future