Análise dos impactos econômicos e da inserção do Brasil em cadeias de valor globais devido às melhorias de eficiência portuária propostas no acordo de facilitação do comércio de Bali

• Ano de defesa: 2017
• Autor(a) principal: Junqueira, Eduardo Lopes
• Orientador(a): Ferraz, Lucas Pedreira do Couto
• Tipo de documento: Dissertação
• Tipo de acesso: Acesso aberto
• Idioma: por
• Palavras-chave em Português: Acordo de Bali; Facilitação do comércio; Eficiência portuária; Modelos de equilíbrio geral computável; GTAP; Cadeias globais de valor
• Palavras-chave em Inglês: Bali package; Trade facilitation agreement; Port efficiency; General equilibrium model; GTAP; Global value chain
• Link de acesso: http://hdl.handle.net/10438/18052

This paper aims to understand the economic effect for Brazil and its ability to join Global Value Chains (GVC) when implementing the actions proposed in the Bali package, which intend to increase port efficiency (Trade Facilitations Agreement – TFA). Using a Computable General Equilibrium Model (CGE model from GTAP), it was estimated that the actions would bring economic benefits worldwide, including to Brazil. In addition, the agreement would increase the competitiveness across the globe, which in turn would result in a rise of economic integration of regions in GVC, measured by the vertical specialization metric VS and VS1. The major effects to Brazil would come from VS1 metric, mainly because of the increase of manufacturing activities which focus on primary factors such as skilled labor and capital.