Comparison for the effects of different components of temperature variability on mortality
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Publication Date: | 2024 |
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Source: | Repositórios Científicos de Acesso Aberto de Portugal (RCAAP) |
Download full: | http://hdl.handle.net/10362/170554 |
Summary: | Funding Information: This study was supported by the Australian Research Council (DP210102076) and the Australian National Health and Medical Research Council (GNT2000581). BW by China Scholarship Council (number 202006010043); WY by China Scholarship Council (number 202006010044); SL by an Emerging Leader Fellowship of the Australian National Health and Medical Research Council (number GNT2009866); JK and AU by the Czech Science Foundation (project number 20\u201328560S); NS by the National Institute of Environmental Health Sciences-funded HERCULES Center (P30ES019776); S-CP and YLG by the Ministry of Science and Technology (Taiwan; MOST 109\u20132621-M-002\u2013021); YH by the Environment Research and Technology Development Fund (JPMEERF15S11412) of the Environmental Restoration and Conservation Agency; MdSZSC and PHNS by the S\u00E3o Paulo Research Foundation (FAPESP); ST by the Science and Technology Commission of Shanghai Municipality (grant number 18411951600); HO and EI by the Estonian Ministry of Education and Research (IUT34\u201317); JM by a fellowship of Funda\u00E7\u00E3o para a Ci\u00EAncia e a Tecnlogia (SFRH/BPD/115112/2016); AG by the Medical Research Council UK (grant IDs: MR/V034162/1 and MR/R013349/1), the Natural Environment Research Council UK (grant ID: NE/R009384/1), and the EU's Horizon 2020 project, Exhaustion (grant ID: 820655); AS, SR, and FdD by the EU's Horizon 2020 project, Exhaustion (grant ID 820655); VH by the Spanish Ministry of Economy, Industry and Competitiveness (grant ID PCIN-2017\u2013046); AT by MCIN/AEI/10.13039/501100011033 (grant CEX2018-000794-S); YG by Career Development Fellowship (number GNT1163693) and Leader Fellowship (number GNT2008813) of the Australian National Health and Medical Research Council; Statistics South Africa kindly provided the mortality data, but had no other role in the study. This Article is published in memory of Simona Fratianni who helped to contribute the data for Romania. Publisher Copyright: © 2024 |
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Comparison for the effects of different components of temperature variability on mortalitya multi-country time-series studyInter-dayIntra-dayMortalityTemperature variabilityEnvironmental Science(all)SDG 3 - Good Health and Well-beingFunding Information: This study was supported by the Australian Research Council (DP210102076) and the Australian National Health and Medical Research Council (GNT2000581). BW by China Scholarship Council (number 202006010043); WY by China Scholarship Council (number 202006010044); SL by an Emerging Leader Fellowship of the Australian National Health and Medical Research Council (number GNT2009866); JK and AU by the Czech Science Foundation (project number 20\u201328560S); NS by the National Institute of Environmental Health Sciences-funded HERCULES Center (P30ES019776); S-CP and YLG by the Ministry of Science and Technology (Taiwan; MOST 109\u20132621-M-002\u2013021); YH by the Environment Research and Technology Development Fund (JPMEERF15S11412) of the Environmental Restoration and Conservation Agency; MdSZSC and PHNS by the S\u00E3o Paulo Research Foundation (FAPESP); ST by the Science and Technology Commission of Shanghai Municipality (grant number 18411951600); HO and EI by the Estonian Ministry of Education and Research (IUT34\u201317); JM by a fellowship of Funda\u00E7\u00E3o para a Ci\u00EAncia e a Tecnlogia (SFRH/BPD/115112/2016); AG by the Medical Research Council UK (grant IDs: MR/V034162/1 and MR/R013349/1), the Natural Environment Research Council UK (grant ID: NE/R009384/1), and the EU's Horizon 2020 project, Exhaustion (grant ID: 820655); AS, SR, and FdD by the EU's Horizon 2020 project, Exhaustion (grant ID 820655); VH by the Spanish Ministry of Economy, Industry and Competitiveness (grant ID PCIN-2017\u2013046); AT by MCIN/AEI/10.13039/501100011033 (grant CEX2018-000794-S); YG by Career Development Fellowship (number GNT1163693) and Leader Fellowship (number GNT2008813) of the Australian National Health and Medical Research Council; Statistics South Africa kindly provided the mortality data, but had no other role in the study. This Article is published in memory of Simona Fratianni who helped to contribute the data for Romania. Publisher Copyright: © 2024Background: Temperature variability (TV) is associated with increased mortality risk. However, it is still unknown whether intra-day or inter-day TV has different effects. Objectives: We aimed to assess the association of intra-day TV and inter-day TV with all-cause, cardiovascular, and respiratory mortality. Methods: We collected data on total, cardiovascular, and respiratory mortality and meteorology from 758 locations in 47 countries or regions from 1972 to 2020. We defined inter-day TV as the standard deviation (SD) of daily mean temperatures across the lag interval, and intra-day TV as the average SD of minimum and maximum temperatures on each day. In the first stage, inter-day and intra-day TVs were modelled simultaneously in the quasi-Poisson time-series model for each location. In the second stage, a multi-level analysis was used to pool the location-specific estimates. Results: Overall, the mortality risk due to each interquartile range [IQR] increase was higher for intra-day TV than for inter-day TV. The risk increased by 0.59% (95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.53, 0.65) for all-cause mortality, 0.64% (95% CI: 0.56, 0.73) for cardiovascular mortality, and 0.65% (95% CI: 0.49, 0.80) for respiratory mortality per IQR increase in intra-day TV0–7 (0.9 °C). An IQR increase in inter-day TV0–7 (1.6 °C) was associated with 0.22% (95% CI: 0.18, 0.26) increase in all-cause mortality, 0.44% (95% CI: 0.37, 0.50) increase in cardiovascular mortality, and 0.31% (95% CI: 0.21, 0.41) increase in respiratory mortality. The proportion of all-cause deaths attributable to intra-day TV0–7 and inter-day TV0–7 was 1.45% and 0.35%, respectively. The mortality risks varied by lag interval, climate area, season, and climate type. Conclusions: Our results indicated that intra-day TV may explain the main part of the mortality risk related to TV and suggested that comprehensive evaluations should be proposed in more countries to help protect human health.Comprehensive Health Research Centre (CHRC) - Pólo ENSPCentro de Investigação em Saúde Pública (CISP/PHRC)Escola Nacional de Saúde Pública (ENSP)RUNWen, BoWu, YaoGuo, YumingGasparrini, AntonioTong, ShiluOvercenco, AlaUrban, AlešSchneider, AlexandraEntezari, AlirezaVicedo-Cabrera, Ana MariaZanobetti, AntonellaAnalitis, AntonisZeka, ArianaTobias, AurelioNunes, BaltazarAlahmad, BarrakArmstrong, BenForsberg, BertilPan, Shih ChunÍñiguez, CarmenAmeling, CarolineValencia, César De la CruzÅström, ChristoferHouthuijs, DannyVan Dung, DoRoyé, DominicIndermitte, EneLavigne, EricMayvaneh, FatemehAcquaotta, Fiorellade'Donato, FrancescaRao, ShilpaSera, FrancescoCarrasco-Escobar, GabrielKan, HaidongOrru, HansKim, HoHolobaca, Iulian HoriaKyselý, JanMadureira, JoanaSchwartz, JoelJaakkola, Jouni J.K.Katsouyanni, KleaDiaz, Magali HurtadoRagettli, Martina S.Hashizume, MasahiroPascal, MathildeCoélho, Micheline de Sousa Zanotti StagliorioOrtega, Nicolás ValdésRyti, NiiloScovronick, NoahMichelozzi, PaolaMatus Correa, PatriciaGoodman, PatrickSaldiva, Paulo Hilario NascimentoRaz, RaananAbrutzky, RosanaOsorio, SamuelDang, Tran NgocColistro, ValentinaHuber, VeronikaLee, WhanheeSeposo, XerxesHonda, YasushiKim, YoonheeGuo, Yue LeonBell, Michelle L.Li, Shanshan2024-08-13T22:16:07Z2024-052024-05-01T00:00:00Zinfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersioninfo:eu-repo/semantics/articleapplication/pdfhttp://hdl.handle.net/10362/170554eng0160-4120PURE: 97917901https://doi.org/10.1016/j.envint.2024.108712info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccessreponame:Repositórios Científicos de Acesso Aberto de Portugal (RCAAP)instname:FCCN, serviços digitais da FCT – Fundação para a Ciência e a Tecnologiainstacron:RCAAP2024-09-09T01:40:20Zoai:run.unl.pt:10362/170554Portal AgregadorONGhttps://www.rcaap.pt/oai/openaireinfo@rcaap.ptopendoar:https://opendoar.ac.uk/repository/71602025-05-28T18:48:56.276359Repositórios Científicos de Acesso Aberto de Portugal (RCAAP) - FCCN, serviços digitais da FCT – Fundação para a Ciência e a Tecnologiafalse |
dc.title.none.fl_str_mv |
Comparison for the effects of different components of temperature variability on mortality a multi-country time-series study |
title |
Comparison for the effects of different components of temperature variability on mortality |
spellingShingle |
Comparison for the effects of different components of temperature variability on mortality Wen, Bo Inter-day Intra-day Mortality Temperature variability Environmental Science(all) SDG 3 - Good Health and Well-being |
title_short |
Comparison for the effects of different components of temperature variability on mortality |
title_full |
Comparison for the effects of different components of temperature variability on mortality |
title_fullStr |
Comparison for the effects of different components of temperature variability on mortality |
title_full_unstemmed |
Comparison for the effects of different components of temperature variability on mortality |
title_sort |
Comparison for the effects of different components of temperature variability on mortality |
author |
Wen, Bo |
author_facet |
Wen, Bo Wu, Yao Guo, Yuming Gasparrini, Antonio Tong, Shilu Overcenco, Ala Urban, Aleš Schneider, Alexandra Entezari, Alireza Vicedo-Cabrera, Ana Maria Zanobetti, Antonella Analitis, Antonis Zeka, Ariana Tobias, Aurelio Nunes, Baltazar Alahmad, Barrak Armstrong, Ben Forsberg, Bertil Pan, Shih Chun Íñiguez, Carmen Ameling, Caroline Valencia, César De la Cruz Åström, Christofer Houthuijs, Danny Van Dung, Do Royé, Dominic Indermitte, Ene Lavigne, Eric Mayvaneh, Fatemeh Acquaotta, Fiorella de'Donato, Francesca Rao, Shilpa Sera, Francesco Carrasco-Escobar, Gabriel Kan, Haidong Orru, Hans Kim, Ho Holobaca, Iulian Horia Kyselý, Jan Madureira, Joana Schwartz, Joel Jaakkola, Jouni J.K. Katsouyanni, Klea Diaz, Magali Hurtado Ragettli, Martina S. Hashizume, Masahiro Pascal, Mathilde Coélho, Micheline de Sousa Zanotti Stagliorio Ortega, Nicolás Valdés Ryti, Niilo Scovronick, Noah Michelozzi, Paola Matus Correa, Patricia Goodman, Patrick Saldiva, Paulo Hilario Nascimento Raz, Raanan Abrutzky, Rosana Osorio, Samuel Dang, Tran Ngoc Colistro, Valentina Huber, Veronika Lee, Whanhee Seposo, Xerxes Honda, Yasushi Kim, Yoonhee Guo, Yue Leon Bell, Michelle L. Li, Shanshan |
author_role |
author |
author2 |
Wu, Yao Guo, Yuming Gasparrini, Antonio Tong, Shilu Overcenco, Ala Urban, Aleš Schneider, Alexandra Entezari, Alireza Vicedo-Cabrera, Ana Maria Zanobetti, Antonella Analitis, Antonis Zeka, Ariana Tobias, Aurelio Nunes, Baltazar Alahmad, Barrak Armstrong, Ben Forsberg, Bertil Pan, Shih Chun Íñiguez, Carmen Ameling, Caroline Valencia, César De la Cruz Åström, Christofer Houthuijs, Danny Van Dung, Do Royé, Dominic Indermitte, Ene Lavigne, Eric Mayvaneh, Fatemeh Acquaotta, Fiorella de'Donato, Francesca Rao, Shilpa Sera, Francesco Carrasco-Escobar, Gabriel Kan, Haidong Orru, Hans Kim, Ho Holobaca, Iulian Horia Kyselý, Jan Madureira, Joana Schwartz, Joel Jaakkola, Jouni J.K. Katsouyanni, Klea Diaz, Magali Hurtado Ragettli, Martina S. Hashizume, Masahiro Pascal, Mathilde Coélho, Micheline de Sousa Zanotti Stagliorio Ortega, Nicolás Valdés Ryti, Niilo Scovronick, Noah Michelozzi, Paola Matus Correa, Patricia Goodman, Patrick Saldiva, Paulo Hilario Nascimento Raz, Raanan Abrutzky, Rosana Osorio, Samuel Dang, Tran Ngoc Colistro, Valentina Huber, Veronika Lee, Whanhee Seposo, Xerxes Honda, Yasushi Kim, Yoonhee Guo, Yue Leon Bell, Michelle L. Li, Shanshan |
author2_role |
author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author |
dc.contributor.none.fl_str_mv |
Comprehensive Health Research Centre (CHRC) - Pólo ENSP Centro de Investigação em Saúde Pública (CISP/PHRC) Escola Nacional de Saúde Pública (ENSP) RUN |
dc.contributor.author.fl_str_mv |
Wen, Bo Wu, Yao Guo, Yuming Gasparrini, Antonio Tong, Shilu Overcenco, Ala Urban, Aleš Schneider, Alexandra Entezari, Alireza Vicedo-Cabrera, Ana Maria Zanobetti, Antonella Analitis, Antonis Zeka, Ariana Tobias, Aurelio Nunes, Baltazar Alahmad, Barrak Armstrong, Ben Forsberg, Bertil Pan, Shih Chun Íñiguez, Carmen Ameling, Caroline Valencia, César De la Cruz Åström, Christofer Houthuijs, Danny Van Dung, Do Royé, Dominic Indermitte, Ene Lavigne, Eric Mayvaneh, Fatemeh Acquaotta, Fiorella de'Donato, Francesca Rao, Shilpa Sera, Francesco Carrasco-Escobar, Gabriel Kan, Haidong Orru, Hans Kim, Ho Holobaca, Iulian Horia Kyselý, Jan Madureira, Joana Schwartz, Joel Jaakkola, Jouni J.K. Katsouyanni, Klea Diaz, Magali Hurtado Ragettli, Martina S. Hashizume, Masahiro Pascal, Mathilde Coélho, Micheline de Sousa Zanotti Stagliorio Ortega, Nicolás Valdés Ryti, Niilo Scovronick, Noah Michelozzi, Paola Matus Correa, Patricia Goodman, Patrick Saldiva, Paulo Hilario Nascimento Raz, Raanan Abrutzky, Rosana Osorio, Samuel Dang, Tran Ngoc Colistro, Valentina Huber, Veronika Lee, Whanhee Seposo, Xerxes Honda, Yasushi Kim, Yoonhee Guo, Yue Leon Bell, Michelle L. Li, Shanshan |
dc.subject.por.fl_str_mv |
Inter-day Intra-day Mortality Temperature variability Environmental Science(all) SDG 3 - Good Health and Well-being |
topic |
Inter-day Intra-day Mortality Temperature variability Environmental Science(all) SDG 3 - Good Health and Well-being |
description |
Funding Information: This study was supported by the Australian Research Council (DP210102076) and the Australian National Health and Medical Research Council (GNT2000581). BW by China Scholarship Council (number 202006010043); WY by China Scholarship Council (number 202006010044); SL by an Emerging Leader Fellowship of the Australian National Health and Medical Research Council (number GNT2009866); JK and AU by the Czech Science Foundation (project number 20\u201328560S); NS by the National Institute of Environmental Health Sciences-funded HERCULES Center (P30ES019776); S-CP and YLG by the Ministry of Science and Technology (Taiwan; MOST 109\u20132621-M-002\u2013021); YH by the Environment Research and Technology Development Fund (JPMEERF15S11412) of the Environmental Restoration and Conservation Agency; MdSZSC and PHNS by the S\u00E3o Paulo Research Foundation (FAPESP); ST by the Science and Technology Commission of Shanghai Municipality (grant number 18411951600); HO and EI by the Estonian Ministry of Education and Research (IUT34\u201317); JM by a fellowship of Funda\u00E7\u00E3o para a Ci\u00EAncia e a Tecnlogia (SFRH/BPD/115112/2016); AG by the Medical Research Council UK (grant IDs: MR/V034162/1 and MR/R013349/1), the Natural Environment Research Council UK (grant ID: NE/R009384/1), and the EU's Horizon 2020 project, Exhaustion (grant ID: 820655); AS, SR, and FdD by the EU's Horizon 2020 project, Exhaustion (grant ID 820655); VH by the Spanish Ministry of Economy, Industry and Competitiveness (grant ID PCIN-2017\u2013046); AT by MCIN/AEI/10.13039/501100011033 (grant CEX2018-000794-S); YG by Career Development Fellowship (number GNT1163693) and Leader Fellowship (number GNT2008813) of the Australian National Health and Medical Research Council; Statistics South Africa kindly provided the mortality data, but had no other role in the study. This Article is published in memory of Simona Fratianni who helped to contribute the data for Romania. Publisher Copyright: © 2024 |
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2024 |
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2024-08-13T22:16:07Z 2024-05 2024-05-01T00:00:00Z |
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