Estimation of the potential economic impacts of the oil and gas sector shutdown in Sergipe

Bibliographic Details
Main Author: Ribeiro, Luiz Carlos Santana
Publication Date: 2024
Other Authors: José Heraldo Figueiredo dos Santos, Vinícius de Almeida Vale, Samia Mercado Alvarenga
Format: Article
Language: por
Source: Revista Brasileira de Estudos Regionais e Urbanos (Online)
Download full: https://revistaaber.org.br/rberu/article/view/1019
Summary: Despite promising prospects for the exploration of new oil and gas reserves in Sergipe, the Ministry of Mines and Energy announced in 2019 that Petrobras would close its headquarters in the state. In this context, this study estimates the economic impacts that the shutdown of the Oil and Gas sector would cause in Sergipe. We use a hypothetical extraction method in an interregional input-output model for Sergipe and the rest of Brazil. The main results indicate that the shutdown of this sector in Sergipe would lead to a total negative impact of R$ 4.7 billion in Brazil, with R$ 3.7 billion (79%) of the impact being in the state itself, while R$ 1 billion (21%) would spill over to the rest of Brazil. This would represent an 8.7% reduction in the gross production value of Sergipe. From a sectoral perspective, the sectors in Sergipe experiencing the greatest decline in activity, excluding the Oil and Gas extraction sector, would be Transportation, auxiliary activities, and postal services, Business services, Commerce, and Construction.
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spelling Estimation of the potential economic impacts of the oil and gas sector shutdown in SergipeEstimação dos impactos econômicos potenciais da paralisação do setor de petróleo e gás em SergipePetrobrasExtração hipotéticaPetróleo e gásSergipePetrobasOil and GasSergipeHypothetical extractionDespite promising prospects for the exploration of new oil and gas reserves in Sergipe, the Ministry of Mines and Energy announced in 2019 that Petrobras would close its headquarters in the state. In this context, this study estimates the economic impacts that the shutdown of the Oil and Gas sector would cause in Sergipe. We use a hypothetical extraction method in an interregional input-output model for Sergipe and the rest of Brazil. The main results indicate that the shutdown of this sector in Sergipe would lead to a total negative impact of R$ 4.7 billion in Brazil, with R$ 3.7 billion (79%) of the impact being in the state itself, while R$ 1 billion (21%) would spill over to the rest of Brazil. This would represent an 8.7% reduction in the gross production value of Sergipe. From a sectoral perspective, the sectors in Sergipe experiencing the greatest decline in activity, excluding the Oil and Gas extraction sector, would be Transportation, auxiliary activities, and postal services, Business services, Commerce, and Construction.Apesar de perspectivas promissoras em relação à exploração das novas reservas de petróleo e gás em Sergipe, o Ministério de Minas e Energia anunciou, em 2019, que a Petrobras fecharia a sua sede no estado. Nesse contexto, este estudo estima os impactos econômicos que a paralisação do setor de Petróleo e gás provocaria em Sergipe. Para tanto, é utilizado o método de extração hipotética em um modelo inter-regional de insumo-produto para Sergipe e restante do Brasil. Os principais resultados mostram que a paralisação do setor em Sergipe provocaria um impacto negativo total de R$ 4,7 bilhões no Brasil, sendo que R$ 3,7 bilhões (79%) do impacto seria no próprio estado e R$ 1 bilhão (21%) transbordaria para o restante do Brasil. Isso representaria uma redução de 8,7% do valor bruto da produção sergipano. Do ponto de vista setorial, os setores sergipanos com maior redução do nível de atividade, à exceção do próprio setor de Petróleo e gás, seriam Transportes, atividades auxiliares e correio, Serviços às empresas, Comércio e Construção.Associação Brasileira de Estudos Regionais e Urbanos2024-06-26info:eu-repo/semantics/articleinfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersionapplication/pdfhttps://revistaaber.org.br/rberu/article/view/101910.54766/rberu.v17i4.1019Revista Brasileira de Estudos Regionais e Urbanos; Vol. 17 No. 4 (2023): Revista Brasileira de Estudos Regionais e Urbanos; 514-536Revista Brasileira de Estudos Regionais e Urbanos; v. 17 n. 4 (2023): Revista Brasileira de Estudos Regionais e Urbanos; 514-5362447-7990reponame:Revista Brasileira de Estudos Regionais e Urbanos (Online)instname:Associação Brasileira de Estudos Regionais e Urbano (ABER)instacron:ABERporhttps://revistaaber.org.br/rberu/article/view/1019/425Copyright (c) 2024 ABERinfo:eu-repo/semantics/openAccessRibeiro, Luiz Carlos SantanaJosé Heraldo Figueiredo dos SantosVinícius de Almeida ValeSamia Mercado Alvarenga2024-08-29T15:32:20Zoai:ojs.emnuvens.com.br:article/1019Revistahttps://revistaaber.org.br/rberuONGhttps://revistaaber.org.br/rberu/oaiaber.revista@gmail.com2447-79901981-3953opendoar:2024-08-29T15:32:20Revista Brasileira de Estudos Regionais e Urbanos (Online) - Associação Brasileira de Estudos Regionais e Urbano (ABER)false
dc.title.none.fl_str_mv Estimation of the potential economic impacts of the oil and gas sector shutdown in Sergipe
Estimação dos impactos econômicos potenciais da paralisação do setor de petróleo e gás em Sergipe
title Estimation of the potential economic impacts of the oil and gas sector shutdown in Sergipe
spellingShingle Estimation of the potential economic impacts of the oil and gas sector shutdown in Sergipe
Ribeiro, Luiz Carlos Santana
Petrobras
Extração hipotética
Petróleo e gás
Sergipe
Petrobas
Oil and Gas
Sergipe
Hypothetical extraction
title_short Estimation of the potential economic impacts of the oil and gas sector shutdown in Sergipe
title_full Estimation of the potential economic impacts of the oil and gas sector shutdown in Sergipe
title_fullStr Estimation of the potential economic impacts of the oil and gas sector shutdown in Sergipe
title_full_unstemmed Estimation of the potential economic impacts of the oil and gas sector shutdown in Sergipe
title_sort Estimation of the potential economic impacts of the oil and gas sector shutdown in Sergipe
author Ribeiro, Luiz Carlos Santana
author_facet Ribeiro, Luiz Carlos Santana
José Heraldo Figueiredo dos Santos
Vinícius de Almeida Vale
Samia Mercado Alvarenga
author_role author
author2 José Heraldo Figueiredo dos Santos
Vinícius de Almeida Vale
Samia Mercado Alvarenga
author2_role author
author
author
dc.contributor.author.fl_str_mv Ribeiro, Luiz Carlos Santana
José Heraldo Figueiredo dos Santos
Vinícius de Almeida Vale
Samia Mercado Alvarenga
dc.subject.por.fl_str_mv Petrobras
Extração hipotética
Petróleo e gás
Sergipe
Petrobas
Oil and Gas
Sergipe
Hypothetical extraction
topic Petrobras
Extração hipotética
Petróleo e gás
Sergipe
Petrobas
Oil and Gas
Sergipe
Hypothetical extraction
description Despite promising prospects for the exploration of new oil and gas reserves in Sergipe, the Ministry of Mines and Energy announced in 2019 that Petrobras would close its headquarters in the state. In this context, this study estimates the economic impacts that the shutdown of the Oil and Gas sector would cause in Sergipe. We use a hypothetical extraction method in an interregional input-output model for Sergipe and the rest of Brazil. The main results indicate that the shutdown of this sector in Sergipe would lead to a total negative impact of R$ 4.7 billion in Brazil, with R$ 3.7 billion (79%) of the impact being in the state itself, while R$ 1 billion (21%) would spill over to the rest of Brazil. This would represent an 8.7% reduction in the gross production value of Sergipe. From a sectoral perspective, the sectors in Sergipe experiencing the greatest decline in activity, excluding the Oil and Gas extraction sector, would be Transportation, auxiliary activities, and postal services, Business services, Commerce, and Construction.
publishDate 2024
dc.date.none.fl_str_mv 2024-06-26
dc.type.driver.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/article
info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion
format article
status_str publishedVersion
dc.identifier.uri.fl_str_mv https://revistaaber.org.br/rberu/article/view/1019
10.54766/rberu.v17i4.1019
url https://revistaaber.org.br/rberu/article/view/1019
identifier_str_mv 10.54766/rberu.v17i4.1019
dc.language.iso.fl_str_mv por
language por
dc.relation.none.fl_str_mv https://revistaaber.org.br/rberu/article/view/1019/425
dc.rights.driver.fl_str_mv Copyright (c) 2024 ABER
info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess
rights_invalid_str_mv Copyright (c) 2024 ABER
eu_rights_str_mv openAccess
dc.format.none.fl_str_mv application/pdf
dc.publisher.none.fl_str_mv Associação Brasileira de Estudos Regionais e Urbanos
publisher.none.fl_str_mv Associação Brasileira de Estudos Regionais e Urbanos
dc.source.none.fl_str_mv Revista Brasileira de Estudos Regionais e Urbanos; Vol. 17 No. 4 (2023): Revista Brasileira de Estudos Regionais e Urbanos; 514-536
Revista Brasileira de Estudos Regionais e Urbanos; v. 17 n. 4 (2023): Revista Brasileira de Estudos Regionais e Urbanos; 514-536
2447-7990
reponame:Revista Brasileira de Estudos Regionais e Urbanos (Online)
instname:Associação Brasileira de Estudos Regionais e Urbano (ABER)
instacron:ABER
instname_str Associação Brasileira de Estudos Regionais e Urbano (ABER)
instacron_str ABER
institution ABER
reponame_str Revista Brasileira de Estudos Regionais e Urbanos (Online)
collection Revista Brasileira de Estudos Regionais e Urbanos (Online)
repository.name.fl_str_mv Revista Brasileira de Estudos Regionais e Urbanos (Online) - Associação Brasileira de Estudos Regionais e Urbano (ABER)
repository.mail.fl_str_mv aber.revista@gmail.com
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