Água no solo e rendimento de trigo, milho e soja, associados ao fenômeno El niño oscilação sul e à mudança climática simulados para Santa Maria, RS.

• Ano de defesa: 2005
• Autor(a) principal: Alberto, Cleber Maus
• Tipo de documento: Dissertação
• Tipo de acesso: Acesso aberto
• Idioma: por
• Instituição de defesa: Universidade Federal de Santa Maria; BR; Engenharia Agrícola; UFSM; Programa de Pós-Graduação em Engenharia Agrícola
• Palavras-chave em Português: La niña; Agricultura; Balanço hídrico do solo; Trigo; Milho; Soja; Agriculture; Soil water budget; CNPQ::CIENCIAS AGRARIAS::ENGENHARIA AGRICOLA
• Link de acesso: http://repositorio.ufsm.br/handle/1/7507

The El Nino Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is a large-scale phenomenon that impacts weather and climate worldwide, including Southern and Northeast Brazil. Soil water is a major factor that affects interannual crop production in Rio Grande do Sul State. Other factor that may affect crop yield is the possible climate change. Human activities have been blamed to increase the CO2 concentration of the Earth s Atmosphere. Earth temperature may increase in response to increasing CO2 concentration. The Impact of the projected climate change on soil water and agroecossystems yield is an important and relevant issue both from a scientific and political viewpoint. The objective of this study was to simulate wheat, maize and soybean yields, and the fraction of transpirable soil water (FTSW) and link its interannual variability to ENSO and under climate change scenarios at Santa Maria, RS. Soil water and crop yield were simulated with models available in the literature. Air temperature and rainfall were modified to create climate change scenarios. The results showed that neutral years are the years of the largest risk to production of wheat, maize and soybean. During La Niña years the trend of water deficit is not clear and El Niño years are associated with years with greater FTSW. The increase in temperature, expected to decreases wheat and maize yields more than soybean yield.