Os impactos regionais dos royalties do petróleo no Brasil

• Ano de defesa: 2018
• Autor(a) principal: Santos, Rafaela Nascimento
• Orientador(a): Ribeiro, Luiz Carlos de Santana
• Tipo de documento: Dissertação
• Tipo de acesso: Acesso aberto
• Idioma: por
• Programa de Pós-Graduação: Pós-Graduação em Economia
• Palavras-chave em Português: Royalties do petróleo; Estrutura produtiva; Estados brasileiros
• Palavras-chave em Inglês: Petroleum royalties; Production structure; Brazilian states
• Área do conhecimento CNPq: CIENCIAS SOCIAIS APLICADAS::ECONOMIA
• Link de acesso: http://ri.ufs.br/jspui/handle/riufs/9460

The objective of this study is to evaluate the impact of petroleum’s royalties on the productive structure of Brazilian states and their effects on regional inequality. For this purpose, the Interregional Input-Output Matrix of Brazil was used, base year 2008, made up of the 27 Brazilian states and 26 sectors of economic activity. The simulation strategy was based on Law 12,858 / 2013 on oil royalties, where 75% of these resources should be earmarked for education and 25% for health, considering the average value of the period from 2013 to 2016. To measure the effect of royalties on regional inequality, the ex-ante and ex-post Gini index was calculated on the impact analysis, considering the state GDP distribution. The main results indicate an impact in the Northeast of 0.10% in employment and 0.13% in GDP. In the Southeast region, the main recipient of royalties, the impact could reach 0.23% in employment and 0.19% in GDP. In the sectoral issue, because of the linearity of the model, the education and health sectors had a greater impact on GDP and employment. Finally, the result of the Gini index indicates that if, in fact, oil royalties were earmarked for education and health, this could contribute to an increase in interstate disparities, but because it had a marginal value (0.02 %) would not have this effect. However, it should be noted that the southeastern and northeastern regions, due to the greater collection of oil resources, could contribute to the reduction of intra-regional inequality.