Sistemas complexos : desastre, loteria e epidemias

• Ano de defesa: 2013
• Autor(a) principal: Antônio, Fernando José
• Tipo de documento: Tese
• Tipo de acesso: Acesso aberto
• Idioma: por
• Instituição de defesa: Universidade Estadual de Maringá; Brasil; Programa de Pós-Graduação em Física; UEM; Maringá, PR; Centro de Ciências Exatas
• Palavras-chave em Português: Sistemas complexos; Análise de dados; Desastre; Loteria; Epidemias; Distribuição de probabilidade; Crescimento exponencial; Correlações; Modelo estocástico; Brasil.; Complex systems; Data analysis; Exponential growth; Lottery; Correlations; Stochastic model; Epidemics; Probability distributions; Brazil.; Ciências Exatas e da Terra; Física
• Link de acesso: http://repositorio.uem.br:8080/jspui/handle/1/2641

This research aims to analyze data in order to identify patterns and universal laws, followed by the development of stochastic models in multidisciplinary areas of complex systems. Each problem will be addressed with different approaches accordingly to the characteristics of the empirical data and their availability. For this purpose, this thesis will be divided into five chapters: the first one, from biology, is related to an increased mortality of marine animals due to the oil spill in the Gulf of Mexico in 2010; in the second chapter, in a social context, we discuss the collective effect of lottery sales in the profile of the number of winners, a topic of significant interest in neuroscience and that can even be connected to biological systems; the chapters 3, 4 and 5 are dedicated to the study of the diffusion of epidemics in Brazil, such as HIV/AIDS and dengue fever, problems of large social interest.