A iniciativa de Chiang Mai: alcances e limitações

• Ano de defesa: 2011
• Autor(a) principal: Scarano, Paulo Rogério
• Orientador(a): Oliveira, Henrique Altemani de
• Tipo de documento: Tese
• Tipo de acesso: Acesso aberto
• Idioma: por
• Instituição de defesa: Pontifícia Universidade Católica de São Paulo
• Programa de Pós-Graduação: Programa de Estudos Pós-Graduados em Ciências Sociais
• Departamento: Ciências Sociais
• País: BR
• Palavras-chave em Português: ASEAN+3; Iniciativa de Chiang Mai; Arranjos financeiros regionais
• Palavras-chave em Inglês: Chiang Mai initiative; Regional financial arrangements
• Área do conhecimento CNPq: CNPQ::CIENCIAS SOCIAIS APLICADAS
• Link de acesso: https://tede2.pucsp.br/handle/handle/3310

The purpose of this work is to analyze the possibilities and limitations of the regional financial arrangement called Chiang Mai Initiative (CMI); a agreement among the Association of Southeast Asian Nations, Japan, China and South Korea (ASEAN+3), whose aim is to supply temporary funds to any of its members in need, to face an international context of high volatility of capital flows in which the lacking of proper mechanisms to provide liquidity could result in crises that could go beyond the boundaries of a particular nation. This interdisciplinary study, which shares topics with the areas of International Relations and International Political Economy, is fundamental to understand the scope and the difficulties involving regional financial agreements among different countries that frequently compete with each other and have a history of rivalry and territorial disputes. So the initial hypothesis about the reaches and limitations of Chiang Mai Initiative is that they are a result of the financial and economical interdependence, associated with the political differences between the countries of the ASEAN+3. This work starts with a short review on the International Monetary and Financial System and its institutions, particularly the role of the International Monetary Fund (IMF), since the Bretton Woods agreements until the current international financial architecture. It follows a discussion about how this architecture may be associated with the Asiatic Crises of 1997-98, basing the analysis on the vulnerability indicators of the countries affected by the crises and the actions taken by the IMF. The discontentment concerning the procedures of the international financial institutions favored the conditions necessary for the progress of the CMI. Such progress will be approached based on the analysis of the documentation produced at the ASEAN+3 Finance Ministers Meeting and the associated literature. After discussed the CMI institutional characteristics, this work explores the degree of economic integration between the countries of the region, using the data available by the local governments and the international organizations like the IMF, the World Bank and the United Nations Conference on Trade and Development (UNCTAD). It is also shown in this work that if in on hand the regional interdependence justifies a regional financial arrangement like the CMI, on the other hand the absence of a clear regional hegemony, the regional rivalries and a significant territorial disputes caused difficulties to establish a regional cooperation environment. The large accumulation of international reserves as a self protection mechanism among the East Asian nations illustrates their suspicious regarding a regional collective solution