Credit borrowing constraints in a DSGE framework: income vs. housing

• Ano de defesa: 2014
• Autor(a) principal: Lima, Daniela Cunha de
• Orientador(a): Teles, Vladimir Kuhl
• Tipo de documento: Dissertação
• Tipo de acesso: Acesso aberto
• Idioma: eng
• Palavras-chave em Português: Confidence; Higher-order expectations; Fiscal policy; Restrições de colateral; DSGE; Fricção financeira; Rigidez na taxa de juros; Economia emergente
• Palavras-chave em Inglês: Investment coordination
• Link de acesso: http://hdl.handle.net/10438/11637

Credit market in Brazil distinguishes from advanced economies in many aspects. One of them is related to collaterals for households borrowing. This work proposes a DSGE framework, based on Gerali et al.(2010), to analyse one pecularity of Brazillian credit market: payroll-deducted personal loans. To original model, we added the possibility to households contract long term debt and compare to differents types of credit constrains: one based on housing and other based on future income. We callibrate and estimate the model to Brazil, using Bayesian technique. Results show that, in a economy where credit constraints are based on income, responses to shocks appear to be stronger, at first, but dissipate faster. This occurs because income responds quickly to shock than housing prices, so does amount available to loans. In order to smooth consumption, agents compensate lower income and borrowing by increasing working hours, restoring loans and debt in a shorter time.