Populist attitudes and the populist radical right vote in different types of elections: evidence from Portugal

Bibliographic Details
Main Author: Santana Pereira, José
Publication Date: 2024
Format: Article
Language: eng
Source: Repositórios Científicos de Acesso Aberto de Portugal (RCAAP)
Download full: https://doi.org/10.31447/2022113
Summary: In this article, the impact of populist attitudes on the vote for the populist radical right is assessed in the context of first- and second-order elections, under the expectation that the effect of populist attitudes will be stronger in the latter. To test this assumption, the focus is placed on the case of Portugal, and original survey data collected in 2021 – including information on vote choice in the January presidential elections, vote intentions in hypothetical legislative elections, populist attitudes and relevant controls – is used. The results show that populist attitudes increased the odds of voting for André Ventura in the presidential election but had no impact on the probability of expressing an intention to vote for Chega in legislative elections. The implications of these patterns are discussed.
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spelling Populist attitudes and the populist radical right vote in different types of elections: evidence from PortugalAtitudes populistas e o voto da direita radical populista em diferentes tipos de eleições: Evidências de PortugalAtitudes populistasdireita radical populistaeleiçõesChegaPortugalPopulist attitudesPopulist radical rightelectionsChegaPortugalIn this article, the impact of populist attitudes on the vote for the populist radical right is assessed in the context of first- and second-order elections, under the expectation that the effect of populist attitudes will be stronger in the latter. To test this assumption, the focus is placed on the case of Portugal, and original survey data collected in 2021 – including information on vote choice in the January presidential elections, vote intentions in hypothetical legislative elections, populist attitudes and relevant controls – is used. The results show that populist attitudes increased the odds of voting for André Ventura in the presidential election but had no impact on the probability of expressing an intention to vote for Chega in legislative elections. The implications of these patterns are discussed.Neste artigo, avalia-se o impacto das atitudes populistas no voto na direita radical populista no contexto de eleições de primeira e de segunda ordem, sob a expetativa de que o efeito das atitudes populistas seria a mais forte nestas últimas. Testa-se este pressuposto com um enfoque no caso de Portugal, e utilizam-se dados originais de inquérito recolhidos em 2021 – incluindo informações sobre a escolha de voto nas eleições presidenciais de janeiro, as intenções de voto em eleições legislativas hipotéticas, as atitudes populistas e controlos relevantes. Os resultados mostram que as atitudes populistas aumentaram a probabilidade de votar em André Ventura nas eleições presidenciais. No entanto, estas não tiveram impacto na probabilidade de expressar uma intenção de voto no Chega em eleições legislativas. Discutem-se as implicações destes padrões.  Instituto de Ciências Sociais da Universidade de Lisboa2024-06-24info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersioninfo:eu-repo/semantics/articleapplication/pdfhttps://doi.org/10.31447/2022113https://doi.org/10.31447/2022113Análise Social; Vol. 59 N.º 251 (2024): Populismo em Portugal. O Fim do Excecionalismo?; e221132182-29990003-2573reponame:Repositórios Científicos de Acesso Aberto de Portugal (RCAAP)instname:FCCN, serviços digitais da FCT – Fundação para a Ciência e a Tecnologiainstacron:RCAAPenghttps://revistas.rcaap.pt/analisesocial/article/view/36502https://revistas.rcaap.pt/analisesocial/article/view/36502/25213Santana Pereira, Joséinfo:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess2024-06-29T05:36:16Zoai:ojs.revistas.rcaap.pt:article/36502Portal AgregadorONGhttps://www.rcaap.pt/oai/openaireinfo@rcaap.ptopendoar:https://opendoar.ac.uk/repository/71602025-05-28T17:57:04.515103Repositórios Científicos de Acesso Aberto de Portugal (RCAAP) - FCCN, serviços digitais da FCT – Fundação para a Ciência e a Tecnologiafalse
dc.title.none.fl_str_mv Populist attitudes and the populist radical right vote in different types of elections: evidence from Portugal
Atitudes populistas e o voto da direita radical populista em diferentes tipos de eleições: Evidências de Portugal
title Populist attitudes and the populist radical right vote in different types of elections: evidence from Portugal
spellingShingle Populist attitudes and the populist radical right vote in different types of elections: evidence from Portugal
Santana Pereira, José
Atitudes populistas
direita radical populista
eleições
Chega
Portugal
Populist attitudes
Populist radical right
elections
Chega
Portugal
title_short Populist attitudes and the populist radical right vote in different types of elections: evidence from Portugal
title_full Populist attitudes and the populist radical right vote in different types of elections: evidence from Portugal
title_fullStr Populist attitudes and the populist radical right vote in different types of elections: evidence from Portugal
title_full_unstemmed Populist attitudes and the populist radical right vote in different types of elections: evidence from Portugal
title_sort Populist attitudes and the populist radical right vote in different types of elections: evidence from Portugal
author Santana Pereira, José
author_facet Santana Pereira, José
author_role author
dc.contributor.author.fl_str_mv Santana Pereira, José
dc.subject.por.fl_str_mv Atitudes populistas
direita radical populista
eleições
Chega
Portugal
Populist attitudes
Populist radical right
elections
Chega
Portugal
topic Atitudes populistas
direita radical populista
eleições
Chega
Portugal
Populist attitudes
Populist radical right
elections
Chega
Portugal
description In this article, the impact of populist attitudes on the vote for the populist radical right is assessed in the context of first- and second-order elections, under the expectation that the effect of populist attitudes will be stronger in the latter. To test this assumption, the focus is placed on the case of Portugal, and original survey data collected in 2021 – including information on vote choice in the January presidential elections, vote intentions in hypothetical legislative elections, populist attitudes and relevant controls – is used. The results show that populist attitudes increased the odds of voting for André Ventura in the presidential election but had no impact on the probability of expressing an intention to vote for Chega in legislative elections. The implications of these patterns are discussed.
publishDate 2024
dc.date.none.fl_str_mv 2024-06-24
dc.type.status.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion
dc.type.driver.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/article
format article
status_str publishedVersion
dc.identifier.uri.fl_str_mv https://doi.org/10.31447/2022113
https://doi.org/10.31447/2022113
url https://doi.org/10.31447/2022113
dc.language.iso.fl_str_mv eng
language eng
dc.relation.none.fl_str_mv https://revistas.rcaap.pt/analisesocial/article/view/36502
https://revistas.rcaap.pt/analisesocial/article/view/36502/25213
dc.rights.driver.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess
eu_rights_str_mv openAccess
dc.format.none.fl_str_mv application/pdf
dc.publisher.none.fl_str_mv Instituto de Ciências Sociais da Universidade de Lisboa
publisher.none.fl_str_mv Instituto de Ciências Sociais da Universidade de Lisboa
dc.source.none.fl_str_mv Análise Social; Vol. 59 N.º 251 (2024): Populismo em Portugal. O Fim do Excecionalismo?; e22113
2182-2999
0003-2573
reponame:Repositórios Científicos de Acesso Aberto de Portugal (RCAAP)
instname:FCCN, serviços digitais da FCT – Fundação para a Ciência e a Tecnologia
instacron:RCAAP
instname_str FCCN, serviços digitais da FCT – Fundação para a Ciência e a Tecnologia
instacron_str RCAAP
institution RCAAP
reponame_str Repositórios Científicos de Acesso Aberto de Portugal (RCAAP)
collection Repositórios Científicos de Acesso Aberto de Portugal (RCAAP)
repository.name.fl_str_mv Repositórios Científicos de Acesso Aberto de Portugal (RCAAP) - FCCN, serviços digitais da FCT – Fundação para a Ciência e a Tecnologia
repository.mail.fl_str_mv info@rcaap.pt
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